Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2018
Commodity prices in the third quarter of 2018 were buffeted by geopolitical and macroeconomic events. Energy prices gained 3 percent in 2018 Q3 (q/q), partly in response to the impending re-imposition of sanctions on Iran by the United States along with continuing declines in production in Venezue...
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| Autor principal: | |
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| Formato: | Online |
| Publicado em: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2018
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| Assuntos: | |
| Acesso em linha: | https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/678081540845321639/commodity-markets-outlook-the-changing-of-the-guard-shifts-in-commodity-demand https://hdl.handle.net/10986/30614 https://doi.org/10.1596/30614 |
| _version_ | 1866366998906142720 |
|---|---|
| author | World Bank Group |
| author_facet | World Bank Group |
| author_sort | World Bank Group |
| collection | Publicaciones institucionales emblemáticas |
| description | Commodity prices in the third quarter of 2018 were buffeted by geopolitical and macroeconomic events. Energy
prices gained 3 percent in 2018 Q3 (q/q), partly in response to the impending re-imposition of sanctions on
Iran by the United States along with continuing declines in production in Venezuela. As a result, crude oil prices
are expected to average $72 per barrel (bbl) in 2018 (up from $53/bbl in 2017) and $74/bbl in 2019. This
represents a sizable upward revision from the April 2018 forecast. Moreover, risks to the oil price forecast are to
the upside in the short-term, given the recent decline in spare capacity. In contrast, metal and agricultural prices
declined 10 and 7 percent, respectively, in the third quarter of 2018 amid robust supplies and trade disputes.
Metal prices are expected to stabilize in 2019 whereas agricultural prices are expected to gain almost 2 percent. This edition also examines how energy and metal commodity markets have evolved over the past 20 years. It
shows that China has been the main driver of commodity demand growth, particularly for coal and metals, but
that its demand is likely to slow while other emerging market economies are unlikely to emulate China. |
| format | Online Serial |
| id | wb-10986-30614 |
| institution | Banco Mundial |
| publishDate | 2018 |
| publisher | World Bank, Washington, DC |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | wb-10986-306142025-04-15T12:04:16Z Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2018 World Bank Group COMMODITY PRICES ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ENERGY AGRICULTURE METALS PRECIOUS METALS MINERALS PRICE SERIES PRICE FORECASTS PRICE INDICES OIL PRICES FOOD PRICES Commodity prices in the third quarter of 2018 were buffeted by geopolitical and macroeconomic events. Energy prices gained 3 percent in 2018 Q3 (q/q), partly in response to the impending re-imposition of sanctions on Iran by the United States along with continuing declines in production in Venezuela. As a result, crude oil prices are expected to average $72 per barrel (bbl) in 2018 (up from $53/bbl in 2017) and $74/bbl in 2019. This represents a sizable upward revision from the April 2018 forecast. Moreover, risks to the oil price forecast are to the upside in the short-term, given the recent decline in spare capacity. In contrast, metal and agricultural prices declined 10 and 7 percent, respectively, in the third quarter of 2018 amid robust supplies and trade disputes. Metal prices are expected to stabilize in 2019 whereas agricultural prices are expected to gain almost 2 percent. This edition also examines how energy and metal commodity markets have evolved over the past 20 years. It shows that China has been the main driver of commodity demand growth, particularly for coal and metals, but that its demand is likely to slow while other emerging market economies are unlikely to emulate China. 2018-10-29T15:47:38Z 2018-10-29T15:47:38Z 2019 Serial Sériel Serial https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/678081540845321639/commodity-markets-outlook-the-changing-of-the-guard-shifts-in-commodity-demand https://hdl.handle.net/10986/30614 10.1596/30614 https://doi.org/10.1596/30614 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank application/pdf World Bank, Washington, DC |
| spellingShingle | COMMODITY PRICES ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ENERGY AGRICULTURE METALS PRECIOUS METALS MINERALS PRICE SERIES PRICE FORECASTS PRICE INDICES OIL PRICES FOOD PRICES World Bank Group Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2018 |
| title | Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2018 |
| title_full | Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2018 |
| title_fullStr | Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2018 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2018 |
| title_short | Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2018 |
| title_sort | commodity markets outlook october 2018 |
| topic | COMMODITY PRICES ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ENERGY AGRICULTURE METALS PRECIOUS METALS MINERALS PRICE SERIES PRICE FORECASTS PRICE INDICES OIL PRICES FOOD PRICES |
| url | https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/678081540845321639/commodity-markets-outlook-the-changing-of-the-guard-shifts-in-commodity-demand https://hdl.handle.net/10986/30614 https://doi.org/10.1596/30614 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT worldbankgroup commoditymarketsoutlookoctober2018 |