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Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2020

Almost all commodity prices saw sharp declines during the past three months as the COVID-19 pandemic worsened. Mitigation measures have significantly reduced transport, causing an unprecedented decline in demand for oil, while weaker economic growth will further reduce overall commodity demand. Crud...

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Autor principal: World Bank Group
Formato: En linea
Publicado: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
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Acceso en línea:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/543311587659880031/Commodity-Markets-Outlook-April-2020
https://hdl.handle.net/10986/33624
https://doi.org/10.1596/33624
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author World Bank Group
author_facet World Bank Group
author_sort World Bank Group
collection Publicaciones institucionales emblemáticas
description Almost all commodity prices saw sharp declines during the past three months as the COVID-19 pandemic worsened. Mitigation measures have significantly reduced transport, causing an unprecedented decline in demand for oil, while weaker economic growth will further reduce overall commodity demand. Crude oil prices are expected to average $35/bbl this year and $42/bbl in 2021—sharp downward revisions from October. Metals prices are projected to drop more than 13 percent in 2020, before recovering in 2021, while food prices are expected to remain broadly stable. The price forecasts are subject to significant risks. A Special Focus looks at the impact of COVID-19 on commodity markets and finds that its effects have already been larger than most previous events and may lead to long-term shifts in global commodity markets. Another section looks at international commodity production agreements and concludes that while the current OPEC arrangement may stabilize oil markets in the short term, it will likely be subject to the same shortcomings of earlier efforts to manage commodity supplies in due course.
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spelling wb-10986-336242025-04-15T11:15:38Z Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2020 World Bank Group COMMODITY PRICES ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ENERGY AGRICULTURE METALS PRECIOUS METALS MINERALS PRICE SERIES PRICE FORECASTS PRICE INDICES OIL PRICES FOOD PRICES CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 OPEC ECONOMIC CRISIS PANDEMIC IMPACT Almost all commodity prices saw sharp declines during the past three months as the COVID-19 pandemic worsened. Mitigation measures have significantly reduced transport, causing an unprecedented decline in demand for oil, while weaker economic growth will further reduce overall commodity demand. Crude oil prices are expected to average $35/bbl this year and $42/bbl in 2021—sharp downward revisions from October. Metals prices are projected to drop more than 13 percent in 2020, before recovering in 2021, while food prices are expected to remain broadly stable. The price forecasts are subject to significant risks. A Special Focus looks at the impact of COVID-19 on commodity markets and finds that its effects have already been larger than most previous events and may lead to long-term shifts in global commodity markets. Another section looks at international commodity production agreements and concludes that while the current OPEC arrangement may stabilize oil markets in the short term, it will likely be subject to the same shortcomings of earlier efforts to manage commodity supplies in due course. 2020-04-20T21:04:12Z 2020-04-20T21:04:12Z 2020-04-23 Serial Sériel Serial http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/543311587659880031/Commodity-Markets-Outlook-April-2020 https://hdl.handle.net/10986/33624 10.1596/33624 https://doi.org/10.1596/33624 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank application/pdf application/octet-stream World Bank, Washington, DC
spellingShingle COMMODITY PRICES
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ENERGY
AGRICULTURE
METALS
PRECIOUS METALS
MINERALS
PRICE SERIES
PRICE FORECASTS
PRICE INDICES
OIL PRICES
FOOD PRICES
CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
OPEC
ECONOMIC CRISIS
PANDEMIC IMPACT
World Bank Group
Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2020
title Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2020
title_full Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2020
title_fullStr Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2020
title_full_unstemmed Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2020
title_short Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2020
title_sort commodity markets outlook april 2020
topic COMMODITY PRICES
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ENERGY
AGRICULTURE
METALS
PRECIOUS METALS
MINERALS
PRICE SERIES
PRICE FORECASTS
PRICE INDICES
OIL PRICES
FOOD PRICES
CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
OPEC
ECONOMIC CRISIS
PANDEMIC IMPACT
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/543311587659880031/Commodity-Markets-Outlook-April-2020
https://hdl.handle.net/10986/33624
https://doi.org/10.1596/33624
work_keys_str_mv AT worldbankgroup commoditymarketsoutlookapril2020