Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2021
Commodity prices have risen to high levels by historical standards. Energy prices have increased sharply, especially for natural gas and coal, while most non-energy prices have plateaued after steep increases earlier in the year. Crude oil prices are forecast to average $74/bbl in 2022, up from a pr...
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| Formato: | En linea |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2021
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| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10986/36350 https://doi.org/10.1596/36350 |
| _version_ | 1866367009219936256 |
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| author | World Bank Group |
| author_facet | World Bank Group |
| author_sort | World Bank Group |
| collection | Publicaciones institucionales emblemáticas |
| description | Commodity prices have risen to high levels by historical standards. Energy prices have increased sharply, especially for natural gas and coal, while most non-energy prices have plateaued after steep increases earlier in the year. Crude oil prices are forecast to average $74/bbl in 2022, up from a projected $70/bbl in 2021. After registering more than 48 percent increase this year, metal prices are projected to decline 5 percent in 2022. Agricultural prices, which are projected to rise more than 20 percent this year, are expected to broadly stabilize in 2022. These forecasts are subject to substantial risks, from adverse weather, further supply constraints, or additional outbreaks of COVID-19. Energy prices are particularly at risk of additional volatility in the near-term given low inventory levels. A Special Focus section explores the impact of urbanization on commodity demand. Although cities are often associated with increased demand for energy commodities (and hence greenhouse gas emissions) the report finds that high-density cities, particularly in advanced economies, can have lower per capita energy demand than low-density cities. As the share of people living in urban areas is expected to continue to rise, these results highlight the need for strategic urban planning to maximize the beneficial elements of cities and mitigate their negative impacts. |
| format | Online Serial |
| id | wb-10986-36350 |
| institution | Banco Mundial |
| publishDate | 2021 |
| publisher | World Bank, Washington, DC |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | wb-10986-363502025-05-01T02:27:23Z Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2021 World Bank Group COMMODITY PRICES ENERGY AGRICULTURE METALS AND MINERALS PRECIOUS METALS PRICE FORECASTS PRICE SERIES OIL PRICES FOOD PRICES ECONOMIC OUTLOOK PANDEMIC IMPACT Commodity prices have risen to high levels by historical standards. Energy prices have increased sharply, especially for natural gas and coal, while most non-energy prices have plateaued after steep increases earlier in the year. Crude oil prices are forecast to average $74/bbl in 2022, up from a projected $70/bbl in 2021. After registering more than 48 percent increase this year, metal prices are projected to decline 5 percent in 2022. Agricultural prices, which are projected to rise more than 20 percent this year, are expected to broadly stabilize in 2022. These forecasts are subject to substantial risks, from adverse weather, further supply constraints, or additional outbreaks of COVID-19. Energy prices are particularly at risk of additional volatility in the near-term given low inventory levels. A Special Focus section explores the impact of urbanization on commodity demand. Although cities are often associated with increased demand for energy commodities (and hence greenhouse gas emissions) the report finds that high-density cities, particularly in advanced economies, can have lower per capita energy demand than low-density cities. As the share of people living in urban areas is expected to continue to rise, these results highlight the need for strategic urban planning to maximize the beneficial elements of cities and mitigate their negative impacts. 2021-10-12T21:07:18Z 2021-10-12T21:07:18Z 2021-10-21 Serial Sériel Serial https://hdl.handle.net/10986/36350 https://doi.org/10.1596/36350 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank application/pdf application/pdf application/octet-stream application/pdf World Bank, Washington, DC |
| spellingShingle | COMMODITY PRICES ENERGY AGRICULTURE METALS AND MINERALS PRECIOUS METALS PRICE FORECASTS PRICE SERIES OIL PRICES FOOD PRICES ECONOMIC OUTLOOK PANDEMIC IMPACT World Bank Group Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2021 |
| title | Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2021 |
| title_full | Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2021 |
| title_fullStr | Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2021 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2021 |
| title_short | Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2021 |
| title_sort | commodity markets outlook october 2021 |
| topic | COMMODITY PRICES ENERGY AGRICULTURE METALS AND MINERALS PRECIOUS METALS PRICE FORECASTS PRICE SERIES OIL PRICES FOOD PRICES ECONOMIC OUTLOOK PANDEMIC IMPACT |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10986/36350 https://doi.org/10.1596/36350 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT worldbankgroup commoditymarketsoutlookoctober2021 |